Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (2024)

The Oklahoma Sooners have made CBS Sports’ Blue-Chip Ratio list once again for the 2024 season.

This was expected, as OU is one of the premier programs and brands in the sport and rarely lacks four- and five-star talent. The Sooners are one of college football’s most prominent blue bloods, and elite talents want to come to Norman.

CBS Sports’ Bud Elliott is the mastermind behind the Blue Chip Ratio, and he explains exactly what his list comprises of.

Although it’s not the most complex calculation, it’s an excellent method for identifying the top 10% of teams that realistically have a shot at winning the title,” says Elliot. “In simple terms: To win the national championship, college football teams need to sign more four- and five-star recruits (AKA “Blue Chips”) than two- and three-star players over the previous four recruiting classes.”

Elliottt, CBS Sports

Elliott dives deeper into why his list performs as well as it does each year:

This has been consistently true since the advent of modern internet recruiting rankings. But, this is not to say that the Blue-Chip Ratio guarantees a national title, or even competing for one,” Elliot says. “The requirement to stack talent on top of talent makes sense when considering the violent nature of football. Even teams which stay relatively healthy need depth to survive the season. Teams who sign elite class after elite class have greater competition in practice and greater quality of depth. … That is not to say that development does not matter. It certainly does. But nobody wins a national title by player development in lieu of elite recruiting. Plenty of coaches who are regarded as elite have never sniffed winning it all because they can’t accumulate enough talent. On the other hand, there are examples of coaches who are not regarded as premier head men who have won it all thanks to elite recruits. Not to lump them into the same category, but nobody ever accused Gene Chizik, Les Miles, Mack Brown or Ed Orgeron of being tactical masterminds.

Elliott, CBS Sports

The blue chip ratio does not include transfers, only high school recruits. Elliot also states that the list is not a requirement to make the College Football Playoff or a substitute for player development, culture or coaching. He also doesn’t use it to pick individual games.

The bottom line is that, every year since its inception, the list has included the national championship winner for that season.

For 2024, Elliott has identified 16 teams in college football that fit into the blue-chip category. The Oklahoma Sooners come in at 73%. The “Main Line Podcast” notes is up seven percent from three years ago.

This speaks to the effect Brent Venables has had on the program over the past three recruiting classes. Each year in Norman, Venables and his staff have pulled in a top 10 class. The standard at OU is to win national championships. Venables understands that it takes blue-chippers to get the job done.

When transfers are included, Oklahoma falls to 63% and in a three-way tie for eighth on the list. This makes it clear that Venables has decided to allot most of his time and resources (NIL dollars) to recruiting players from the high school ranks. However, the staff has done a commendable job plugging the holes on the roster through the transfer portal. The entire starting offensive line could be made up of portal additions, while Deion Burks and Damonic Williams could be stars this year.

At the end of the day, this list shows that Venables is beginning to get the tools he needs to lead OU into championship contention again. The sixth-most high school blue-chippers in college football is quite the accomplishment. Now it’s time to surprise everybody and exceed expectations in Year 1 in the SEC.

Here’s a look at the top 16 teams in blue-chip ratio along with their odds to win the national championship, according to Fan Duel.

16

Auburn Tigers

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (1)

Steve Roberts-USA TODAY Sports

Blue Chip Ratio: 53%

Odds to win the National Championship: +15000

Get more Auburn Tigers news, analysis and opinions onAuburn Wire.

15

Michigan Wolverines

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (2)

Mark J. Rebilas-USA TODAY Sports

Blue Chip Ratio: 56%

Odds to win the National Championship: +2500

Get more Michigan Wolverines news, analysis and opinions onWolverines Wire.

14

USC Trojans

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (3)

Matt Cashore-USA TODAY Sports

Blue Chip Ratio: 59%

Odds to win the National Championship: +6000

Get more USC Trojans news, analysis and opinions onTrojans Wire.

13

Miami Hurricanes

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (4)

Sam Navarro-USA TODAY Sports

Blue Chip Ratio: 61%

Odds to win the National Championship: +5000

Get more College Football news, analysis and opinions on College Sports Wire

12

Penn State Nittany Lions

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (5)

Matthew OHaren-USA TODAY Sports

Blue Chip Ratio: 61%

Odds to win the National Championship: +2000

Get more Penn State news, analysis and opinions onNittany Lions Wire

11

Florida Gators

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (6)

Randy Sartin-USA TODAY Sports

Blue Chip Ratio: 63%

Odds to win the National Championship: +30000

Get more Florida Gators news, analysis and opinions onGators Wire.

10

Clemson Tigers

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (7)

Ken Ruinard-USA TODAY NETWORK

Blue Chip Ratio: 64%

Odds to win the National Championship: +4500

Get more Clemson Tigers news, analysis and opinions onClemson Wire.

9

Notre Dame Fighting Irish

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (8)

Jeremy Reper-USA TODAY Sports

Blue Chip Ratio: 67%

Odds to win the National Championship: +2200

Get more Notre Dame Fighting Irish news, analysis and opinions onFighting Irish Wire

8

LSU Tigers

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (9)

Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

Blue Chip Ratio: 70%

Odds to win the National Championship: +1700

Get more LSU Tigers news, analysis and opinions onLSU Tigers Wire.

7

Texas Longhorns

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (10)

Sara Diggins/American-Statesman / USA TODAY NETWORK

Blue Chip Ratio: 72%

Odds to win the National Championship: +800

Get more Texas Longhorns news, analysis and opinions onLonghorns Wire.

6

Oklahoma Sooners

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (11)

Kevin Jairaj-USA TODAY Sports

Blue Chip Ratio: 73%

Odds to win the National Championship: +7000

Get more Oklahoma Sooners news, analysis and opinions onSooners Wire

5

Oregon Ducks

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (12)

Ben Lonergan/The Register-Guard / USA TODAY NETWORK

Blue Chip Ratio: 76%

Odds to win the National Championship: +850

Get more Oregon Ducks news, analysis and opinions onDucks Wire.

4

Texas A&M Aggies

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (13)

Grant Halverson/Getty Images

Blue Chip Ratio: 79%

Odds to win the National Championship: +4500

Get more Texas A&M Aggies news, analysis and opinions onAggies Wire

3

Georgia Bulldogs

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (14)

Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

Blue Chip Ratio: 80%

Odds to win the National Championship: +300

Get more Georgia Bulldogs news, analysis and opinions onUGA Wire.

2

Alabama Crimson Tide

Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (15)

John David Mercer-USA TODAY Sports

Blue Chip Ratio: 88%

Odds to win the National Championship: +1500

Get more Alabama Crimson Tide news, analysis and opinions onRoll Tide Wire.

1

Ohio State Buckeyes

Blue Chip Ratio: 90%

Odds to win the National Championship: +420

Get more Ohio State Buckeyes news, analysis and opinions onBuckeyesWire

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Sooners among teams with best chance to win national championship (2024)
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